Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.237764 0.269219 0.302730 0.341028 0.383525 0.429173 0.481851
2025-09-07 0.197680 0.240345 0.288615 0.347051 0.415650 0.493388 0.587899
2025-09-14 0.165980 0.214748 0.272866 0.346771 0.437738 0.545504 0.682237
2025-09-21 0.142295 0.194689 0.260095 0.346948 0.458352 0.595466 0.775870
2025-09-28 0.123912 0.178431 0.249419 0.347422 0.477816 0.643778 0.869155
2025-10-05 0.110878 0.167285 0.243590 0.352673 0.502605 0.699155 0.973545
2025-10-12 0.101500 0.159829 0.241528 0.362062 0.532628 0.762170 1.090517
2025-10-19 0.091828 0.150681 0.235910 0.365472 0.553909 0.813799 1.194065
2025-10-26 0.084661 0.144354 0.233507 0.372810 0.580545 0.873481 1.310916
2025-11-02 0.079329 0.140191 0.233734 0.383646 0.612375 0.941496 1.442103
2025-11-09 0.071738 0.131550 0.226225 0.381923 0.625049 0.982075 1.535245
2025-11-16 0.065212 0.123934 0.219552 0.380731 0.638013 1.023147 1.630299
2025-11-23 0.059065 0.116519 0.212864 0.379453 0.651430 1.066599 1.732700
2025-11-30 0.055186 0.112676 0.211714 0.386978 0.679013 1.132713 1.872185
2025-12-07 0.050451 0.106745 0.206458 0.387156 0.694561 1.180728 1.985797
2025-12-14 0.046266 0.101369 0.201652 0.387610 0.710350 1.229554 2.102444
2025-12-21 0.042546 0.096466 0.197224 0.388271 0.726294 1.279055 2.221895
2025-12-28 0.039894 0.093391 0.195841 0.394135 0.751239 1.344005 2.368474
2026-01-04 0.038042 0.091747 0.196967 0.404528 0.784440 1.423751 2.541994
2026-01-11 0.035549 0.088469 0.194655 0.408308 0.806017 1.484799 2.686835
2026-01-18 0.033746 0.086482 0.194680 0.416410 0.835614 1.560423 2.858557
2026-01-25 0.032472 0.085535 0.196681 0.428357 0.872689 1.650161 3.057113
2026-02-01 0.029927 0.081387 0.191789 0.426462 0.883990 1.695526 3.181529